Suppose best advice is to cover yourself.
Like the Liverpool/Milan game other day. Thought Liverpool win was a no-brainer and thought that Milan would win. Changed my mind and tipped the draw, but still, I did the double with Liverpool/Milan AND Liverpool/Draw (in Milan game)
It meant that I didn't win as much, but it was a return.
You can get a good indication of what could happen from the bookies odds. They're the ones in business all these years. That works best for correct score.
Of course, if all the bookies favourites in the market keep winning, bookies will lose money. So they (what seems like it to me) may tend to put something else the favourite what they dont expect to happen. Why? because people sometimes just go with the favourite, without thinking.
May sound contradictory, but just think like you're a bookie. If you were sure that a team would win, would you put them at low odds all the time or take a bit of a risk and offer a bigger price to possibly scare punters off?
Spread bet. Just take the amount you would normally bet and split it into a few smaller bets. If you think its a 3-1, then put more on 3-1, a little bit on 3-0 and another little bit on 2-1 etc.
Or to play it safe, if you're sure its a 3-1, then go for 3 goals in the match rather than the score. Smaller return, but a return.
Teams at the top win lots of matches, pick the one match if you can.
My biggest football win happened in the Barcelona match on the weekend.
Looking at the time of 1st goal, saw something like:
Stuck a tenner on 41-50 (it includes stoppage time) and then little bets on the other ones to cover myself in case it didn't happen. Like £2 on the other 4.
Rather than going for the 1st or last goalscorer, try going for a player to score anytime. Better odds on Betfair and its a bet for the whole match rather than waiting for the 1st goal to go in, and then be dissapointed.
Moreso Chelsea, and Man Utd will have to win all premiership games remaining.
Mine that I'm going for tonight:
James Beattie to score 3.2
AJ to score 2.52
If either of them score, you're in profit. Both of them score, get down to Maccy D's.